Technical NOAA Weather Discussion

FXUS66 KMTR 221200
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
400 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 355 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

Cool morning and warm afternoon temperatures will continue today
and tomorrow before a pattern change for the end of the week into
the weekend brings cooler daytime temperatures and scattered 
light rain chances, primarily for the Central Coast on Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 355 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

Upper level ridging pattern centered over coastal California will 
continue to amplify and build north today and tomorrow. A weak fetch 
of offshore flow near the surface will keep skies mostly clear with 
light winds today and tomorrow along with gradual warming of daytime 
highs, especially inland. The clear skies and light winds will allow 
for radiational cooling to keep overnight lows mostly below normal 
with another round of Freeze/Frost products likely for Wednesday 
morning once this mornings products expire at 9 AM PST. Highs on 
Wednesday will increase slightly near the coast and around 5 degrees 
inland from todays values.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 355 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

The warming of daytime highs continues on Thursday after another 
cold start. Portions of interior southern Monterey County may see
an impressive diurnal warming from the upper 20s early Thursday 
morning to upper 70s in the afternoon. A disturbance over the 
Pacific Northwest late Thursday into Friday begins to break down 
the amplified ridging across the west, with an upper low 
eventually splitting off from the Polar Jet on Saturday, then 
lingering over SOCAL for the remainder of the weekend into next 
week. The developing upper low will definitely bring cooler 
daytime temperatures for the weekend through the remainder of the 
extended forecast. Saw no need to change the slight chance PoPs 
from the NBM for the weekend , as it seems to capture the weak 
signal for rain/snow chances (snow chances confined to elevated 
locations in S Monterey, San Benito Counties and East Bay Hills). 
Widespread wetting rains are not expected, and locations fortunate
enough to see some precip should expect less than a tenth of an 
inch.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 355 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

Currently VFR at all terminals. High confidence in VFR through the 
TAF period. The afternoon sea breeze will be followed by offshore 
flow tonight.

Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with southerly flow. High confidence 
in VFR through the TAF period. Southerly winds will back through the 
morning to become offshore. The sea breeze will return this 
afternoon with a return to offshore flow tonight.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with southeasterly flow at 
MRY and VFR with southerly flow at SNS. High confidence in VFR 
through the TAF period. The sea breeze will return to both terminals 
this afternoon with easterly flow prevailing overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 355 AM PST Wed Jan 22 2025

Moderate to fresh northerly breezes and moderate seas are expected
through Thursday. Seas become rough to very rough by Friday with
gale force gusts expected Friday and Saturday.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Frost Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for CAZ502-504-505-
     508-510-512>515-517-518-528>530.

     Freeze Warning until 10 AM PST this morning for CAZ506-516.

PZ...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM....JM
AVIATION...Sarment
MARINE...Sarment

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Prepared by Boulder-Creek.com Weather at: Wed Jan 22 08:30:02 PST 2025
From the National Weather Service